Planet’s population to hit eight billion

Are eight billion humans too many for planet Earth? As we reach this milestone next Tuesday, most experts say the bigger problem is the overconsumption of resources by the wealthiest residents.

Milestone

“Eight billion people, it is a momentous milestone for humanity,” said United Nations Population Fund chief Natalia Kanem, hailing an increase in life expectancy and fewer maternal and child deaths.

“Yet, I realise this moment might not be celebrated by all. Some express concerns that our world is overpopulated. I am here to say the sheer number of human lives is not a cause for fear.”

So, are there too many of us for earth to sustain?

Focus should be overconsumption of resources

Many experts say that this is the wrong question. Instead of the fear of overpopulation, we should focus on the overconsumption of the planet’s resources by the wealthiest among us.

“Too many for whom, too many for what? If you ask me, am I too many? I don’t think so,” said Joel Cohen of Rockefeller University’s Laboratory of Populations.

He said the question of how many people the earth can support has two sides: natural limits and human choices.

Our choices result in humans consuming far more biological resources, such as forests and land, than the planet can regenerate each year.

The overconsumption of fossil fuels, for example, leads to more carbon dioxide emissions, responsible for global warming.

We would need the biocapacity of 1.75 earths to sustainably meet the needs of the current population, according to the Global Footprint Network and WWF NGOs.

Recent UN climate report

The most recent UN climate report mentions population growth as one of the main drivers of an increase in greenhouse gases. However, it plays a smaller role than economic growth.

“We are stupid. We lacked foresight. We are greedy. We don’t use the information we have. That’s where the choices and the problems lie,” said Cohen.

However, he rejects the idea that humans are a curse on the planet, saying people should be given better choices.

“Our impact on the planet is driven far more by our behaviour than by our numbers,” said Jennifer Sciubba, a researcher at the Wilson Centre, a think tank.

“It’s lazy and damaging to keep going back to overpopulation,” she added, as this allows people in wealthy nations, who consume the most, to cast the blame for the planet’s woes onto developing countries where population growth is highest.

If everyone on the planet lived like a citizen of India, we would only need the capacity of 0.8 earths a year, according to the Global Footprint Network and WWF. If we all consumed like a resident of the United States, we would need five earths a year.

Planet’s population will be nearly 10 billion by 2050

The United Nations estimates that our planet will be home to 9.7 billion people by 2050.

One of the trickiest questions that arise when discussing population is that of controlling fertility. Even those who believe we need to lower the earth’s population are adamant about protecting women’s rights.

Experts weigh in

Robin Maynard, the executive director of the NGO Population Matters, says there needs to be a decrease in the population, but “only through positive, voluntary, rights-respecting means” and not “deplorable examples” of population control.

The NGO, Project Drawdown, lists education and family planning among the top 100 solutions to halt global warming.

“A smaller population with sustainable levels of consumption would reduce demands on energy, transportation, materials, food, and natural systems.”

Vanessa Perez of the World Resources Institute agrees that “every person that is born puts additional stress on the planet”.

“It is a very thorny issue,” she said, adding that we should reject “this idea that the elite capture this narrative and say we need to cap population growth in the south”.

She believes the most interesting debate is not about the number of people but “distribution and equity”.

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