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While the outlook for South African households is positive, with the economy showing signs of a turnaround, consumers can take advantage of improving conditions by reducing their high debt levels.
John Manyike, head of financial education at Old Mutual, says although external forces may derail progress, the current outlook for South African households is positive.
“This optimism was boosted by President Cyril Ramaphosa in his State of the Nation Address when he spoke about the Medium-Term Development Plan of the government of national unity (GNU) to “drive inclusive growth and job creation, reduce poverty and tackle the high cost of living and build a capable, ethical and developmental state.”
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Manyike says a primary factor in the economic turnaround has been the decline in inflation over the past two years and the consequent reversal of the interest rate cycle. After reaching highs of around 7.5% at the end of 2022, inflation hit a low of 2.8% in October 2024 and economists expect it to stabilise at about 4.5%, according to the Bureau for Economic Research.
In response, the South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) gradually started lowering the repo rate, from 8.25% in the middle of 2024 to 7.5% in January 2025.
However, Manyike says, South Africa’s household debt-to-income ratio, the average percentage of disposable household income that goes towards paying off debt, remains unacceptably high. In fact, the ratio increased slightly, from 62.1% in the second quarter of 2024 to 62.2% in the third quarter, according to the Sarb’s latest quarterly bulletin.
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“As economic conditions improve, your debt should become easier to manage, provided you do not take on more credit, which is tempting to do at the lower rates.”
He has these tips for South Africans:
“The average household uses almost two-thirds of its income to service debt. That is unacceptably high. South Africans must learn to live within their means,” Manyike says.
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