Hard times straight ahead

“There’s a lot happening on the socio-economic front which doesn’t bode particularly well for South Africa in general and the property market in particular,” explains Du Toit.

“A number of factors are putting off both local and international buyers from committing to purchases to some extent until they have a clearer picture of where the country is headed.

“Factors include rand weakness, high inflation, weakening metal prices, on-going violent strike action, a rising trade deficit, continuing uncertainty regarding property rights and land reform, high levels of crime, weak service delivery and political in-fighting,” Du Toit says.

Increasing input costs such as labour, electricity, water, property rates and taxes and raw materials as well as skill shortages, crumbling infrastructure and credit downgrades are further undermining South Africa’s social fabric and spooking investors he says.

Evidence of buyer jitters could well already be playing out in the buy-to-let market which was recently described by FNB as “dead”. This description was linked to the release of its second quarter estate agents survey which claimed that only eight percent of homeowners are buying property for letting purposes.

The fact that the National Credit Regulator recently stated that there has been an “alarming” increase in impaired credit records isn’t positive either as this means that fewer people will be able to access home loans adds Du Toit.

“Worryingly, as things stand, the potential for another cycle of financial/labour unrest cannot be dismissed.

“If inflation continues to accelerate as it is tipped to do, working-class households will be hit hardest as the cost of food and fuel would increase yet again. Thus, any wage increases gained through strikes will be eroded which could spark off another round of social upheaval, strikes, rand weakness, investor runoffs and yet more inflation.”

But it’s not all doom and gloom. There are suburbs across South Africa which are performing very well, property values are improving to a degree and demand for auction properties remains fairly robust.

Expectations are also running high in anticipation of government’s National Development Plan (NDP), which should kick-start infrastructural upgrades in the near future.

Encouragingly, industry observers continue to state that there are good reasons to remain confident in South African property as an asset class. A recent survey released by The Economist shows that South Africa ranks third in terms of global house price growth.

For information, contact Park Village Auctions on 011-789-4375 or visit www.parkvillageauctions.co.za