WHAT stands out the most in the run-up to next week’s local government elections is that the political climate and dynamics have vastly shifted.
This simply means that key factors played out strongly by political contenders in previous polls could be null and void this time around.
The electorate is unanimous in their assertion that they are ‘sick and tired’ of empty promises.
Sloganeering has been exhausted and while blind loyalty and patriotism may have stood head and shoulders above previously, it has unfortunately also run its course.
So the loyalty vote will not be the stand alone, deciding factor, come 3 August.
The old drill of party manifestos and glorious speeches have also waned.
This was clearly evident during recent door-to-door electioneering when party agents were literally kicked out of suburbs and leaders were booed off stage.
Several politicians sadly lost their lives through what can arguably be attributed to party factionalism, messy political shenanigans and irate communities. It is clear that charismatic cheap talk has been found wanting.
So what does it come down to? Basic needs, full stop. ‘You fulfil my needs, you win my vote.’
Across the demographic, rich or poor, voters are looking for service delivery and a better South Africa for all.
Individuals preferred
And there is nothing wrong with this changed dynamic. It speaks volumes about our maturing democracy.
The differing element in the local government elections is that constituents do not necessarily vote along party lines but for the person who they feel will make a difference within their community.
Here again, party affiliation and support of party manifestos or ethos do not count.
It boils down to leaders the electorate can relate to and capable candidates who are accountable and transparent.
Whatever the outcome, one thing is certain: the local government election will change the political landscape and playing fields. Many opinion polls suggest no single party will emerge with a clear majority in several town councils.
This is where dealmaking will take effect as the strongest party in these municipalities will seek one or more coalition partner to gain power.
While the ANC is set to regain power in most of its Zululand strongholds, the revival of the IFP and force of the EFF cannot be ignored.
The uncertainty of the NFP’s participation on the eve of the election and the absence of its leader from public presence has not done much to drum up their support.
The impact of independent candidates will also be interesting.
So we are set for an unpredictable political conundrum that could see unlikely contenders joining hands in an attempt to dethrone the majority party.
The fight for the uThungulu District will be the fiercest battle but my prediction is that the ruling party will narrowly pip opposition.
But then again anything can happen in an election.
Make sure you get to the polls on 3 August.
