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It is important to support SMEs in South Africa’s export sector as recent economic data paints a concerning picture of South Africa’s trade balance. Traditionally a higher exporter, the country now finds itself in a less than ideal scenario with imports climbing and closing the gap on exports, resulting in a fairly significant and growing, trade deficit.
“Unfortunately, this lower export scenario appears stubborn and is likely to persist for the foreseeable future, mainly due to a lack of export-oriented industries that would otherwise have been able to pick up the slack. In addition, lower commodity prices typically mean subdued exports, which will further compound the trade deficit challenge,” Bobby Madhav, head of trade and STCF at FNB, says.
Historically, South Africa relied on a few industries for its export revenue. While this strategy had its merits, given the country’s global leadership in resources and commodities, the shifting global economy and fluctuating supply and demand eroded the nation’s market share in global export opportunities. Agriculture remains an exception, continuing to be a strong player in the export market, Madhav says.
According to the latest figures from August 2023, imports amounted to R168 billion, against exports of R181.3 billion, translating to a net trade surplus of just R13.3 billion. While this is more positive than a net deficit, the fact that imports and exports are largely on par is concerning in the longer term.
Just five regions, including China (11.7%), Germany (8.4%), the USA (6.7%), Mozambique (5.8%) and Japan (5.0%) account for no less than 37.6% of South Africa’s total exports. On the other hand, over 50% of the country’s imports also come from just five countries, led by China at 19.1%. This reinforces the fact that South Africa’s trade position remains very precarious.
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Madhav says adding complexity to this challenge, South Africa is still grappling with the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic and trade was further hampered by inefficiencies and backlogs at our major ports.
“As a result, many shipping vessels are bypassing South African ports for more efficiently managed alternatives. Poor rail infrastructure, slow economic growth and low levels of manufacturing activity are also contributing factors to this worrying situation.”
The ramifications of these challenges are vast, affecting not just exporters but also businesses throughout the value chain, especially smaller and medium-sized firms downstream from large export companies.”
He warns if this is not addressed, the costs and inefficiencies will snowball, making South Africa even less competitive as a trade destination.
“Given these pressing issues, South Africa urgently requires a comprehensive strategy focused on resolving challenges and mitigating risks, while also enabling businesses, particularly SMEs, to adapt. Of course, participants in SA’s export sector cannot expect government to fix the problems on its own.
“It is very much an all-hands-on-deck situation, with all stakeholders sharing the responsibility to contribute to the long-term ‘repairs’ of the sector, but also the shorter-term imperative to help nurture smaller businesses and start-ups to become future industry leaders and economic contributors.”
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Madhav says this could be done by:
“It is important to realise that helping to build South Africa’s export industry by supporting its SME participants is not just a moral responsibility, but a long-term commercial sustainability requirement. Like any industry, it is in the export sector’s best interests to be ‘growing its own timber’ and thereby ensuring that SMEs are equipped to become the champions, leaders and key contributors to economic growth and employment that SA exports will need if it wants to have any hope of recovering and once again competing in the global trade arena in the future,” Madhav says.
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