Rate hikes are pinching, but homes still more affordable
As a result of the latest rate hike, and based on a housing bond at the base rate over twenty years, homeowners and property buyers will need to budget for an extra
The decision by the SARB to hike the repo rate for a third successive time by 25 basis points to 4.25% (hiking the prime rate to 7.75%) was expected and largely factored into our outlook for the housing market.
This is according to Samuel Seeff, chairman of the Seeff Property Group.
“Although we had hoped for a pause by the bank to provide some reprieve for homeowners and buyers who are facing rising costs, rising rates are to counter inflation and to counter the dramatic cuts in 2020.
“That said, while the market is taking the hikes in its stride and we continue seeing strong activity as we come out of one of the best summer sales seasons, it is no doubt beginning to pinch and households and homebuyers need to adjust.”
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He said as a result of the latest rate hike, and based on a housing bond at the base rate over twenty years, homeowners and property buyers will need to budget for the extra payment.
Bond Amount
• R750 000 – extra R115 (repayment increases from R6 042 to R6 157)
• R900 000 – extra R139 (repayment increases from R7 250 to R7 389)
• R1 000 000 – extra R153 (repayment increases from R8 056 to R8 209)
• R1 500 000 – extra R230 (repayment increases from R12 084 to R12 314)
• R2 000 000 – extra R307 (repayment increases from R16 112 to R16 419)
• R2 500 000 – extra R384 (repayment increases from R20 140 to R20 524)
“At 7.75%, the interest rate is still well below the 10% level of early 2020 before we entered the pandemic.
“It is generally still cheaper to buy than rent and at the end of the day, you will have a valuable asset and a secure roof over your head.”
Seeff is not expecting any dramatic impact on the housing market.
“Volumes appear to have tapered from the highs of 2021, as most of the pent-up demand has now been absorbed.”
Nonetheless, he said the market is still trading above pre-pandemic levels and the outlook remains upbeat.
“The interest rate remains an inducement for buyers who can still find favourable bank lending conditions.
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“Mortgage originator, ooba, note that qualifying buyers can still find a higher loan to value mortgages while first-time buyers are still able to secure 100% bonds, with costs in some instances.
“While there are stock shortages in certain areas, the market remains well-balanced.”
Seeff said while it is a good time to sell, asking prices are coming under pressure, especially in the higher price bands.
FNB has also pointed to a slowing in house price appreciation to around 3.8% (from last year’s 4.1%).
The rental market has also stabilised with rental growth finally edging up marginally from the negative outlook seen in the mid-2020 to 2021 period.
