The EFF’s announcement that it has not entered into coalition agreements is a sign that its leader, Julius Malema, is holding the ANC, led by President Jacob Zuma, to ransom, according to political analyst professor Andre Duvenhage.
Reacting to the outcome of the coalition talks between the EFF and the ANC, Duvenhage told The Citizen it appeared there was a strategic agreement between the two parties.
“I think that during the talks between the ANC and the EFF, there was some message that Zuma will not survive for a very long time as a result of the EFF not entering into any coalition agreement with the DA,” he said. “This also means that the moment the EFF disagree with the DA, they will align with the ANC and, the moment Zuma leaves, Malema will probably get a Cabinet position. That is something that will take him back into the ANC, which will mean a complete victory for the ruling party.”
Duvenhage stressed that Malema’s current position was putting a lot of pressure on the ANC, particularly around the Zuma issue.
He said should such a strategic agreement between Malema and the ANC prove to be true, that would leave the DA in a difficult position.
“The DA could even become a minority government in the metros that were hotly contested during the elections and a possible scenario that could also play itself out would be a motion of no confidence against the DA,” Duvenhage added.
Another political analyst, Ralph Mathekga, said he thought that by not entering into any coalition agreement, the EFF was playing it safe.
“I think they realised that it was still early for them to get involved in sharing a mandate with other political parties,” said Mathekga. “I also think that the EFF is thinking about its identity, which is still getting cemented and, as a result, they would still want to continue causing further disruptions as their way of holding those in power accountable.”